Election Outcome: South Africa Moving Away From One-Party State

Election Outcome: South Africa Moving Away From One-Party State
The ANC is set to continue to weaken

AFRICANGLOBE – South Africa has, yet again, conducted free, fair, and credible national elections.

With 99 percent of the votes counted, the governing African National Congress (ANC) has won 62 percent of the vote, the official opposition, the Democratic Alliance (DA) has won 22 percent, while a new populist, the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) won 6 percent.

The rest of the votes were shared by numerous small parties. Turnout was a healthy 73 percent. The ANC electoral victory guarantees that President Jacob Zuma will remain in office.

Since the end of White apartheid in 1994, South Africa has essentially been a one-party state. The ANC has enjoyed an overwhelming majority of seats in parliament. Its electoral high-water mark was in 2004, when it won 70 percent of the seats in parliament.

That is changing.

In 2014, its score of 62 percent of the vote, is its lowest since 1994. The party has been besmirched by scandal and accusations of cronyism. Many of the icons of the liberation movement, such as Archbishop Desmond Tutu, have abandoned it.

Nevertheless, as the party of Nelson Mandela and of the fight against White apartheid, it retained overwhelming support from South Africa’s African majority.

If dominant at the national level, the ANC has faced competition at the provincial level from the mostly White Democratic Alliance.

The DA controls the Western Cape, and its leader and child of German immigrants, Helen Zille, is the province’s premier. Nationally, the DA has increased its share of the vote from 17 percent in the 2009 elections to 22 percent. In the Western Cape, it won a large majority of the votes, 59 percent.

The DA is the party of Whites, “Indians” (South Africans of south Asian origin) and “Coloureds,” many of whom regard themselves as a separate, not mixed, race. Helen Zille is White, The Western Cape is the only part of South Africa where Africans are not a majority of the population; “Coloureds” are the largest racial group.

But, the DA has been reaching out to Africans, especially those in the new “middle class.” Its parliamentary leader is an African woman. It will be studying the returns to determine the extent to which it has been successful in attracting supporters from the African population. It will be encouraged by the fact that its percentage of the 2014 vote is greater than the percentage of Whites, “Coloureds” and “Indians” in South Africa’s national population, which is less than 20 percent combined.

The EFF, a new populist party founded by former ANCYouth League president Julius Malema, will now enter parliament. The EFF is best known for calling for the reclamation without compensation of African land from White settlers. It is likely to be a strong advocate in a body that has largely lacked that perspective.

South Africa is moving toward political pluralism.

The ANC, if still by far the largest party, will be challenged in parliament by a revivified DA and, for the first time, a radical and highly popular EFF. 2014 may have set the stage for even greater change in the next electoral season, in 2019.

The DA may have started to break out of its particular racial straightjacket, necessary if it is to be an alternative party of government. The powerful and wealthy National Union of Metal Workers has withdrawn its support from the ANC and is moving toward the establishment a labor party that would likely have more responsible leadership than the ANC. These signs of political pluralism are healthy for a democracy.

Nevertheless, in 2014, South Africans still have voted largely along racial lines. But, elections are moving from being largely a racial census to being about issues.


By: John Campbell

Life In Apartheid South Africa