AFRICANGLOBE – Developing African countries have been challenged to safe guard their economies so that they achieve economic development in the year 2013.
The World Bank in their new report entitled Global Economic prospects report say that the world’s economy performed poorly in the year 2012 due to the onset of the global financial crisis.
“That is why there is need by the developing countries to safe guard their economies against the negative impact of the economic crisis.”
The report noted that for the last four years after the onset of the global financial crisis, the world economy remains fragile and growth in high-income countries is weak.
Developing countries need to focus on raising the growth potential of their economies, while strengthening buffers to deal with risks from the Euro Area and fiscal policy in the United States, says the World Bank in the newly-released Global Economic Prospects (GEP) report.
“The economic recovery remains fragile and uncertain, clouding the prospect for rapid improvement and a return to more robust economic growth,” said World Bank Group President Jim Yong Kim.
“Developing countries have remained remarkably resilient thus far. But we can’t wait for a return to growth in the high-income countries, so we have to continue to support developing countries in making investments in infrastructure, in health, in education. This will set the stage for the stronger growth that we know that they can achieve in the future,” he promised.
Jim Yong Kim noted that last year (2012) developing countries recorded among their slowest economic growth rates of the past decade, partly because of the heightened Euro Area uncertainty in May and June of 2012.
Since then, financial market conditions have improved dramatically. International capital flows to developing countries, which fell 30 percent in the second quarter of 2012, have recovered and bond spreads have declined to below their long-term average levels of around 282 basis points.
Developing-country stock markets are up 12.6 percent since June, while equity markets in high-income countries are up by 10.7 percent.
However, the real-side of the economy has responded modestly. Output in developing countries has accelerated, but is being held back by weak investment and industrial activity in advanced economies.
“From hopes for a U-shaped recovery, through a W-shaped one, the prognosis for global growth is getting alphabetically challenged. With governments in high-income countries struggling to make fiscal policies more sustainable, developing countries should resist trying to anticipate every fluctuation in developed countries and, instead, ensure that their fiscal and monetary policies are robust and responsive to domestic conditions,” said Kaushik Basu, Senior Vice President and Chief Economist at The World Bank.
The World Bank estimates global GDP grew 2.3 percent in 2012, compared with last June’s expectation of 2.5 percent. Growth is expected to remain broadly unchanged at 2.4 percent growth in 2013, before gradually strengthening to 3.1 % in 2014 and 3.31% in 2015.
Developing-country GDP is estimated to have grown 5.1 percent in 2012, and is projected to expand by 5.5 percent in 2013, strengthening to 5.7% and 5.8% in 2014 and 2015, respectively.
Growth in high-income countries has been downgraded from earlier forecasts, at 1.3 percent for 2012 and 2013, firming to 2.0 percent in 2014 and 2.3 percent by 2015.
Growth in the Euro Area is now projected to only return to positive territory in 2014, with GDP expected to contract by 0.1 percent in 2013, before edging up to 0.9 percent in 2014 and 1.4 percent in 2015. Overall, global trade of goods and services, which grew only 3.5 percent in 2012, is expected to accelerate, expanding by 6.0 percent in 2013 and 7.0 percent by 2015.
Projecting on the performance of developing countries’ Economies mostly in the East African community World Bank projects that in the year 2013 Uganda’s economy is expected to grow at 6.2%, Tanzania 6.8% Rwanda 7.5%Burundi 4.3% and Kenya at 5.2%
By; Samuel Nabwiiso